Our computer model projects a victory for the Indianapolis Colts when they play the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, Dec. 1 at 1 p.m. ET — for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score, see below.

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The Colts rank 22nd in scoring offense (20.2 points per game) and 16th in scoring defense (22.8 points allowed per game) this year. The Patriots have not been getting things done on offense, ranking worst with 280.1 total yards per game. They have been more productive defensively, allowing 347.5 total yards per contest (22nd-ranked).

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Colts vs. Patriots Predictions and Picks

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Colts Betting Info

• The Colts have an implied moneyline win probability of 58.3% in this matchup.
• Indianapolis has compiled an 8-4-0 record against the spread this season.
• The Colts have covered the spread once when favored by 2.5 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
• Indianapolis and its opponent have combined to go over the point total five out of 12 times this season.
• The average total for Colts games this season has been 44.8, 2.3 points higher than the total for this game.

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Patriots Betting Info

• The moneyline for this contest implies a 45.5% chance of a victory for the Patriots.
• New England has won four games against the spread this season, failing to cover or pushing eight times.
• The Patriots have been an underdog by 2.5 points or more 11 times this year, and covered the spread in four of those contests.
• In New England’s 12 contests this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total seven times.
• The over/under for this game is 2.2 points higher than the average scoring total for Patriots games (40.3).

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Colts vs. Patriots 2024 Scoring Insights

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