Saturday’s game at John Paul Jones Arena has the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (8-10, 2-5 ACC) matching up with the Virginia Cavaliers (9-10, 2-6 ACC) at 6:30 PM ET (on January 25). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 69-68 win for Notre Dame, so it should be a competitive matchup.

Based on our computer prediction, Virginia is projected to cover the point spread (1.5) against Notre Dame. The two teams are projected to exceed the 124.5 total.

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Notre Dame vs. Virginia Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 25, 2025
• Time: 6:30 PM ET
• TV: ESPN2
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Charlottesville, Virginia
• Venue: John Paul Jones Arena
• Line: Notre Dame -1.5
• Point total: 124.5
• Moneyline (to win): Notre Dame -130, Virginia +108

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Notre Dame vs. Virginia Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Notre Dame 69, Virginia 68

Spread & Total Prediction for Notre Dame vs. Virginia

• Pick ATS: Virginia (+1.5)
• Pick OU: Over (124.5)

Notre Dame’s record against the spread so far this season is 11-7-0, and Virginia’s is 8-11-0. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Fighting Irish are 9-9-0 and the Cavaliers are 10-9-0. The two teams score 136.9 points per game, 12.4 more points than this matchup’s total. Notre Dame has a 6-4 record against the spread while going 4-6 overall over the last 10 games. Virginia has gone 6-4 against the spread and 4-6 overall in its last 10 games.

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Notre Dame Performance Insights

• The Fighting Irish are outscoring opponents by 3.7 points per game with a +67 scoring differential overall. They put up 74.9 points per game (184th in college basketball) and allow 71.2 per outing (173rd in college basketball).
• Notre Dame wins the rebound battle by 4.1 boards on average. It collects 32.5 rebounds per game, which ranks 175th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 28.4 per contest.
• Notre Dame hits 7.9 three-pointers per game (163rd in college basketball), while its opponents have made 7.8 on average.
• The Fighting Irish rank 74th in college basketball with 100.9 points scored per 100 possessions, and 277th in college basketball defensively with 95.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Notre Dame has committed 9.9 turnovers per game (42nd in college basketball action) while forcing 9.7 (334th in college basketball).

Virginia Performance Insights

• The Cavaliers’ -37 scoring differential (being outscored by 1.9 points per game) is a result of putting up 62.0 points per game (360th in college basketball) while giving up 63.9 per outing (20th in college basketball).
• Virginia is 347th in the country at 27.9 rebounds per game. That’s 2.9 fewer than the 30.8 its opponents average.
• Virginia knocks down 7.9 three-pointers per game (163rd in college basketball) at a 36.6% rate (55th in college basketball), compared to the 7.4 its opponents make, shooting 32.0% from deep.
• Virginia has committed 10.4 turnovers per game (81st in college basketball), 1.1 more than the 9.3 it forces (346th in college basketball).

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