Lions vs. Commanders Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Divisional Round

Published 8:36 pm Friday, January 17, 2025

The Detroit Lions will meet the Washington Commanders at Ford Field on Saturday, Jan. 18 at 8 p.m. ET. Our computer model projects the Lions will earn a victory — keep scrolling for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score.

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On offense, the Lions have been a top-five unit, ranking second-best in the NFL by averaging 409.5 yards per game. They rank 20th on defense (342.4 yards allowed per game). The Commanders’ defense ranks 18th in the NFL with 23 points given up per contest, but they’ve been bolstered by their offense, which ranks fifth-best by generating 28.5 points per game.

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Lions vs. Commanders Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Lions (-9.5) Under (55.5) Lions 33, Commanders 19

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Lions Betting Info

  • The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Lions an 84.6% chance to win.
  • Detroit has compiled a 12-5-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Lions have covered the spread twice when favored by 9.5 points or more this season (in three opportunities).
  • A total of nine out of 17 Detroit games this season have gone over the point total.
  • The over/under in this game is 55.5 points, 5.1 higher than the average total in Lions games this season (postseason included).

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Commanders Betting Info

  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Commanders have a 20.0% chance to win.
  • Washington covered 10 times in 17 games with a spread during the regular season, and is 1-0-0 ATS in the postseason.
  • Washington and its opponent combined to hit the over 11 out of 17 times in the regular season, and zero of one in the postseason.
  • Commanders games averaged 45.9 total points in the regular season, 9.6 fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Lions vs. Commanders 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Lions 33.2 20.1 35.3 21.9 30.8 18.1
Commanders 28.5 23 30.4 21.2 26.4 25

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