Duke vs. Notre Dame Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 11

Published 3:28 pm Friday, January 10, 2025

Saturday’s game that pits the No. 4 Duke Blue Devils (13-2, 5-0 ACC) against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (7-8, 1-3 ACC) at Cameron Indoor Stadium is expected to be a one-sided matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 81-61 in favor of Duke, who is heavy favorites by our model. Tipoff is at 12:00 PM ET on January 11.

According to our computer prediction, Duke projects to cover the 19.5-point spread in its matchup versus Notre Dame. The total is currently listed at 135.5, and the two teams are projected to hit the over.

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Duke vs. Notre Dame Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, January 11, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Durham, North Carolina
  • Venue: Cameron Indoor Stadium
  • Line: Duke -19.5
  • Point total: 135.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Duke -4545, Notre Dame +1600

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Duke vs. Notre Dame Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Duke 81, Notre Dame 61

Spread & Total Prediction for Duke vs. Notre Dame

  • Pick ATS: Duke (-19.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (135.5)

Duke’s record against the spread this season is 10-5-0, and Notre Dame’s is 9-6-0. The Blue Devils have hit the over in five games, while Fighting Irish games have gone over eight times. The two teams average 154.9 points per game, 19.4 more points than this matchup’s total. Duke has a 6-4 record against the spread while going 9-1 overall in the last 10 contests. Notre Dame has gone 7-3 against the spread and 3-7 overall in its last 10 contests.

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Duke Performance Insights

  • The Blue Devils average 80.0 points per game (75th in college basketball) while giving up 58.4 per contest (fifth in college basketball). They have a +324 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 21.6 points per game.
  • Duke averages 37.4 rebounds per game (17th in college basketball) while conceding 28.3 per outing to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 9.1 boards per game.
  • Duke connects on 10.3 three-pointers per game (27th in college basketball) while shooting 36.9% from deep (59th in college basketball). It is making 3.8 more threes per outing than its opponents, who drain 6.5 per game while shooting 29.0%.
  • The Blue Devils record 105.7 points per 100 possessions (23rd in college basketball), while allowing 77.1 points per 100 possessions (third in college basketball).
  • Duke wins the turnover battle by 1.6 per game, committing 9.9 (41st in college basketball) while its opponents average 11.5.

Notre Dame Performance Insights

  • The Fighting Irish have a +65 scoring differential, topping opponents by 4.4 points per game. They’re putting up 74.9 points per game, 196th in college basketball, and are giving up 70.5 per outing to rank 156th in college basketball.
  • Notre Dame comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 4.2 boards. It pulls down 32.9 rebounds per game (182nd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 28.7.
  • Notre Dame knocks down 8.1 three-pointers per game (153rd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.6. It shoots 36.0% from deep, and its opponents shoot 30.6%.
  • Notre Dame and its opponents have been relatively even in the turnover battle. The Fighting Irish commit 9.9 per game (41st in college basketball) and force 9.5 (342nd in college basketball).

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