Notre Dame vs. Penn State Orange Bowl Semifinal Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Thursday, Jan. 9
Published 8:45 pm Tuesday, January 7, 2025
Our computer model predicts the No. 3 Notre Dame Fighting Irish will defeat the No. 5 Penn State Nittany Lions on Thursday, Jan. 9 at 7:30 p.m. ET. For a complete projection on the game at Hard Rock Stadium, which includes our prediction on the spread, over/under, and final score, keep reading.
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Notre Dame vs. Penn State Predictions and Picks
ATS Pick | Total Pick | Score Prediction |
---|---|---|
Notre Dame (-1.5) | Over (45.5) | Notre Dame 27, Penn State 23 |
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Notre Dame Betting Info (2024)
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- Based on this game’s moneyline, the Fighting Irish’s implied win probability is 55.0%.
- The Fighting Irish have 11 wins in 14 games against the spread this season.
- In games it was favored in by 1.5 points or more so far this season, the Notre Dame went 9-2-1 against the spread.
- There have been seven Fighting Irish games (out of 14) that went over the total this season.
- Notre Dame games average 47.4 total points per game this season, 1.9 more than the over/under for this matchup.
Penn State Betting Info (2024)
- The implied probability of a win by the Nittany Lions based on the moneyline is 49.5%.
- The Nittany Lions have an 8-7-0 record against the spread this season.
- Penn State is 0-2 against the spread when an underdog by 1.5 points or more this season.
- The Nittany Lions have hit the over in six of their 15 games with a set total (40%).
- Penn State games this season have averaged an over/under of 50.2 points, 4.7 more than the point total in this matchup.
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Fighting Irish vs. Nittany Lions 2024 Scoring Averages
Pts | Pts Allowed | Home Pts | Home Pts Allowed | Away Pts | Away Pts Allowed | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Notre Dame | 37.7 | 13.6 | 24.3 | 14.3 | 44.5 | 10.0 |
Penn State | 33.7 | 15.8 | 30.2 | 13.0 | 34.0 | 12.0 |
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