The No. 3 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (13-1) and No. 5 Penn State Nittany Lions (13-2) will battle in the Orange Bowl for a spot in the College Football Playoff National Championship. For odds and best bets, keep reading.

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When and Where is Notre Dame vs. Penn State?

• Date: Thursday, January 9, 2025
• Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo
• City: Miami Gardens, Florida
• Venue: Hard Rock Stadium

Notre Dame vs. Penn State Prediction & Moneyline Pick

• Prediction: Notre Dame 27, Penn State 23
• Notre Dame is -134 on the moneyline, and Penn State is +113.
• Notre Dame has won 12 of the 13 games it was listed as the moneyline favorite this season (92.3%).
• The Fighting Irish have an 11-1 record (winning 91.7% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -134 or shorter.
• Penn State has lost both games it has played as underdogs this season.
• The Nittany Lions have been at least a +113 moneyline underdog two times this season, but lost all of those games.
• The Fighting Irish have a 57.3% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline’s implied probability.

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Against the Spread Pick

• Pick ATS:

  Notre Dame (-2)
  

• Notre Dame is 11-2-1 against the spread this year.
• The Fighting Irish have an against the spread record of 9-2-1 in their 12 games as a favorite of 2 points or more so far this season.
• Penn State owns a record of 8-7-0 against the spread this year.
• The Nittany Lions have been underdogs by 2 points or more two times this season and have not covered the spread once.

You can place your bet against the spread at BetMGM.

Best Over/Under Pick

• Pick OU: Over (45.5)
• This season, eight of Notre Dame’s 14 games have gone over Thursday’s over/under of 45.5 points.
• There have been nine Penn State games that have finished with a combined score over 45.5 points this season.
• Notre Dame averages 37.7 points per game against Penn State’s 33.7, totaling 25.9 points over the contest’s point total of 45.5.

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Key Stats Splits

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