Our computer model projects a win for the Indianapolis Colts when they meet the Jacksonville Jaguars at Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday, Jan. 5 at 1 p.m. ET — for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score, see below.

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The Colts have the 15th-ranked offense this year (328.9 yards per game), and they’ve been worse on defense, ranking fourth-worst with 363.8 yards allowed per game. The Jaguars rank 26th in total yards per game (305.4), but they’ve been less effective on the other side of the ball, ranking second-worst in the NFL with 387.5 total yards allowed per contest.

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Colts vs. Jaguars Predictions and Picks

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Colts Betting Info

• Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Colts have an implied win probability of 63.6%.
• Indianapolis has put together a 9-7-0 ATS record so far this year.
• The Colts have covered the spread once this season (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
• Indianapolis and its opponent have combined to go over the point total eight out of 16 times this season.
• The over/under in this game is 45 points, 0.8 higher than the average total in Colts games this season.

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Jaguars Betting Info

• The Jaguars have a 40.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Jacksonville has covered nine times in 16 chances against the spread this year.
• When playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs this season, the Jaguars have an ATS record of 6-2.
• So far this year, eight of Jacksonville’s 16 games with a set number have gone over the point total.
• The over/under for this game is 1.1 points higher than the average scoring total for Jaguars games (43.9).

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Colts vs. Jaguars 2024 Scoring Insights

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