Saturday’s contest between the North Carolina Tar Heels (8-6, 1-1 ACC) and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (7-6, 1-1 ACC) at Purcell Pavilion has a projected final score of 80-75 based on our computer prediction, with North Carolina securing the victory. Game time is at 12:00 PM ET on January 4.

According to our computer prediction, North Carolina is projected to cover the spread (4.5) versus Notre Dame. The two teams are expected to fall short of the 156.5 total.

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North Carolina vs. Notre Dame Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 4, 2025
• Time: 12:00 PM ET
• TV: CBS
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Live stream: Watch this game on Paramount+ (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: South Bend, Indiana
• Venue: Purcell Pavilion
• Line: North Carolina -4.5
• Point total: 156.5
• Moneyline (to win): North Carolina -194, Notre Dame +160

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North Carolina vs. Notre Dame Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  North Carolina 80, Notre Dame 75

Spread & Total Prediction for North Carolina vs. Notre Dame

• Pick ATS: North Carolina (-4.5)
• Pick OU: Under (156.5)

North Carolina has gone 5-9-0 against the spread, while Notre Dame’s ATS record this season is 7-6-0. The Tar Heels are 9-5-0 and the Fighting Irish are 8-5-0 in terms of going over the point total. The two teams score 161.2 points per game, 4.7 more points than this matchup’s total. In the past 10 contests, North Carolina is 2-8 against the spread and 5-5 overall while Notre Dame has gone 5-5 against the spread and 4-6 overall.

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North Carolina Performance Insights

• The Tar Heels’ +80 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 5.8 points per game) is a result of scoring 85.4 points per game (20th in college basketball) while giving up 79.6 per contest (337th in college basketball).
• North Carolina is 62nd in the nation at 35.5 rebounds per game. That’s 1.6 more than the 33.9 its opponents average.
• North Carolina connects on 7.5 three-pointers per game (216th in college basketball), 1.7 fewer than its opponents (9.2). It is shooting 31.6% from deep (282nd in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 34.7%.
• The Tar Heels rank 71st in college basketball with 101.9 points scored per 100 possessions, and 279th in college basketball defensively with 95.0 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• North Carolina forces 10.9 turnovers per game (262nd in college basketball) while committing 10.8 (111th in college basketball play).

Notre Dame Performance Insights

• The Fighting Irish have a +67 scoring differential, topping opponents by 5.2 points per game. They’re putting up 75.8 points per game, 179th in college basketball, and are giving up 70.6 per outing to rank 165th in college basketball.
• The 33.6 rebounds per game Notre Dame accumulates rank 157th in college basketball, 4.4 more than the 29.2 its opponents grab.
• Notre Dame connects on 8.2 three-pointers per game (150th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.5. It shoots 36.1% from deep, and its opponents shoot 30.2%.
• Notre Dame has committed 9.8 turnovers per game (43rd in college basketball) while forcing 9.4 (341st in college basketball).

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