Pacers vs. Heat Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – November 17

Published 9:17 pm Saturday, November 16, 2024

The Indiana Pacers (5-7) take on the Miami Heat (5-6) as only 2.5-point favorites on Sunday, November 17, 2024 at 5:00 PM ET on FDSIN and FDSSUN.

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Pacers vs. Heat Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Sunday, November 17, 2024
  • Time: 5:00 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSIN and FDSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse

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Pacers vs. Heat Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Heat 114 – Pacers 113

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Spread & Total Prediction for Pacers vs. Heat

  • Pick ATS: Heat (+ 2.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-0.8)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (229.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 226.7
  • The Pacers have covered more often than the Heat this year, recording an ATS record of 6-6-0, as opposed to the 5-6-0 record of the Heat.
  • Indiana (2-4) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 2.5 points or more this season (33.3%) than Miami (3-1) does as a 2.5+-point underdog (75%).
  • When it comes to going over the total in 2024-25, Miami and its opponents don’t do it as often (54.5% of the time) as Indiana and its opponents (66.7%).
  • As a moneyline favorite this season, the Pacers are 2-4, while the Heat are 2-3 as moneyline underdogs.

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Pacers Performance Insights

  • The Pacers are 13th in the NBA with 113.6 points per game this season. At the other end, they rank 24th with 117.2 points allowed per game.
  • Indiana is averaging just 40 rebounds per game (third-worst in NBA), and it is allowing 44.7 rebounds per contest (19th-ranked).
  • So far this year, the Pacers rank eighth in the league in assists, averaging 27.8 per game.
  • With 13.9 turnovers per game, Indiana ranks 16th in the NBA. It forces 12.9 turnovers per contest, which ranks 22nd in the league.
  • The Pacers are draining 12.3 three-pointers per game (20th-ranked in league). They sport a 37.4% shooting percentage (10th-ranked) from three-point land.

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Heat Performance Insights

  • In 2024-25, the Heat are 18th in the league offensively (111.5 points scored per game) and 10th on defense (111.2 points allowed).
  • In 2024-25, Miami is 22nd in the NBA in rebounds (42.4 per game) and third-worst in rebounds allowed (46.3).
  • The Heat are 16th in the league in assists (25.5 per game) in 2024-25.
  • In terms of turnovers, Miami is second-best in the NBA in committing them (11.7 per game). It is seventh in forcing them (15.2 per game).
  • In 2024-25 the Heat are ninth in the NBA in 3-point makes (14.8 per game) and fourth-best in 3-point percentage (38.5%).

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