Based on our computer model, the Indianapolis Colts will beat the Chicago Bears when they meet at Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 22 (at 1:00 p.m. ET). We have a complete breakdown, regarding the point spread, total and final score, available below.

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The Colts own the 14th-ranked offense this year (320.5 yards per game), and they’ve been worse on defense, ranking second-worst with 400.0 yards allowed per game. From an offensive perspective, the Bears are compiling 18.5 points per game (18th-ranked). They rank sixth in the NFL on the other side of the ball (18.0 points surrendered per game).

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Colts vs. Bears Predictions and Picks

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Colts Betting Info

• The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Colts a 54.5% chance to win.
• Indianapolis has a record of 1-1-0 against the spread this season.
• The Colts have been favored by 1.5 points or more this season once, and failed to cover the spread.
• So far this season, one Indianapolis game has hit the over.
• Colts games have had an average of 45.3 points this season, 1.8 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Bears Betting Info

• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Bears have a 50.0% chance to win.
• Chicago has won one game against the spread this season.
• The Bears have not covered the spread when an underdog by 1.5 points or more this year (in one opportunity).
• Chicago and its opponent have not yet hit the over in 2024.
• The average total for Bears games is 44.0 points, 0.5 more than this game’s over/under.

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Colts vs. Bears 2024 Scoring Insights

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