Based on our computer model, the Indianapolis Colts will defeat the Houston Texans when they play at Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 8 (at 1:00 p.m. ET). We have more projections, regarding the point spread, total and final score, available below.

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The Texans ranked 12th in total offense (342.4 yards per game) and 14th in total defense (330.7 yards allowed per game) last season. With 24.4 points allowed per game on defense, which ranked fifth-worst in the NFL last season, the Colts had to rely on their 10th-ranked offense (23.3 points per contest) to keep them in games.

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Colts vs. Texans Predictions and Picks

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Colts Betting Info

• The implied probability of a win by the Colts, based on the moneyline, is 43.5%.
• Indianapolis compiled a 9-8-0 record against the spread last year.
• The Colts covered the spread twice last season (2-3 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.
• Indianapolis games hit the over 11 out of 17 times last year.
• The over/under for this game is 5.5 points higher than the average scoring total for Colts games last season (43.5).

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Texans Betting Info

• Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Texans have an implied win probability of 61.5%.
• Houston won nine games against the spread last season, failing to cover eight times.
• The Texans covered the spread twice when favored by 3 points or more last season (in five opportunities).
• Houston and its opponent combined to go over the point total in six of 17 contests last season.
• The over/under for this game is 49 points, 6.2 more than the average point total for Texans games a year ago.

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Colts vs. Texans 2023 Scoring Insights

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